Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.119399 0.135146 0.152946 0.174711 0.200820 0.231403 0.270342
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.101489 0.123463 0.150904 0.188398 0.239451 0.308349 0.411703
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.087600 0.112477 0.146011 0.196115 0.272108 0.388709 0.594144
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.076932 0.102991 0.140297 0.200282 0.300092 0.472197 0.827228
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.068218 0.094369 0.133652 0.200750 0.321625 0.553192 1.109876
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.060807 0.086329 0.126177 0.197712 0.335598 0.625736 1.433019
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.056420 0.082175 0.123960 0.202879 0.366220 0.747297 2.008108
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.051295 0.076117 0.117545 0.198839 0.376637 0.827542 2.562300
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.047974 0.072576 0.114867 0.201292 0.402034 0.961711 3.552412
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.044546 0.068441 0.110513 0.199419 0.416695 1.075122 4.712273
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.042293 0.066075 0.109051 0.203288 0.447245 1.262896 6.925904
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.040586 0.064474 0.108786 0.209707 0.487275 1.521451 11.047214
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.038291 0.061634 0.105845 0.209665 0.509890 1.738547 16.678892
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.036569 0.059693 0.104478 0.213206 0.545698 2.063836 28.899046
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.034994 0.057877 0.103137 0.216582 0.583079 2.456738 55.080077
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.033482 0.056040 0.101527 0.218966 0.618694 2.906763 117.290562
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.031890 0.053911 0.099038 0.218521 0.644086 3.344749 269.986428
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.030202 0.051456 0.095570 0.214728 0.655011 3.703219 649.888937
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.029309 0.050520 0.095391 0.220334 0.709038 4.608988 6688.250313
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.027824 0.048267 0.091974 0.215758 0.715900 5.062050 162397.309806
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.026907 0.047118 0.091001 0.218467 0.759435 6.142563 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.025776 0.045441 0.088621 0.216366 0.778652 6.999412 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.025083 0.044636 0.088250 0.220678 0.835108 8.831780 NaN